SUMMARY POINTS
The
MLB Updated Supplement expands to 2000 and 2001 data included in the Report of
the Independent Members of the Commissioner’s Blue Ribbon Panel on Baseball
Economics, dated July 2000, which examined MLB’s current economic structure and
its effects on competitive balance.
The gap between the “Haves”
and the “Have Nots” Continues to Grow.
MLB’s
economic condition has not improved significantly in the past two years, and in
some ways may have worsened, despite continued robust revenue growth. Structural flaws in MLB’s economic system
identified by the Blue Ribbon Panel remain, and the revenue and payroll
disparities, competitive imbalance and operating losses these flaws foster have
generally continued. As industry
revenue has risen from $1.38 billion in 1995 to $3.55 billion in 2001, the gap
in local revenue and payroll between the high-revenue clubs (the “Haves”) and
the low-revenue clubs (the “Have Nots”) continued to grow. In 2001, for example, the Montreal Expos had
local revenue of $9.8 million and a payroll of $30.6 million. The New York Yankees had local revenue of
$217.8 million and a payroll of $120.9 million.
The Lower Quartile Clubs
Cannot Compete for Postseason Berths and Success.
From 1995 through 2001, a total of 224 MLB
postseason games were played. Five
clubs whose payrolls fell in the lower half of the industry qualified for the
postseason, winning a total of five games.
None advanced past the Division Series.
No team outside the top payroll quartile has won a World Series game
during this period. The seven-year
post-season record is 219-5 (a .978 winning percentage) in favor of the top two
payroll quartiles.
The “Caste System” in MLB
Remains.
A minority of MLB clubs have the resources to sign premium free agents—including players they developed and would like to retain—or to sign the top amateur or foreign players. This ongoing “caste system” of clubs stratified by revenue and payroll disparities was described by the Blue Ribbon Panel: “MLB is now essentially divided into three groups of unequal size: 1) clubs that expect to reach and perform well in the postseason; 2) clubs that hope for an occasional ‘dream season’ to reach the postseason; and 3) clubs that know going into spring training that they will not make the playoffs.”
Limited Revenue Sharing and
“Luxury Tax” Have Not Effectively Moderated Payroll Inflation.
Average
club payroll increased by 17 percent in 2000 and 13.1 percent in 2001. The average club payroll has grown 98.4
percent from 1995 ($33.12 million) to 2001 ($65.72 million). The increase in Quartiles I and II remains
greater than that in Quartiles III and IV, perpetuating the “caste system.”
Industry Profitability
Remains Dismal, and Industry Debt Has Soared.
Only
two of the 30 MLB clubs (Yankees and Indians) showed an operating profit over
the period 1995-2001. MLB clubs had an
average operating loss of $46 million over that period, and total industry
operating loss was $1.4 billion. MLB
clubs’ long-term debt, excluding
guaranteed player contracts for future seasons and deferred compensation, has
reached dangerous levels, exceeding $3 billion.
The Cost of Competing Inevitably Continues
to Drive Up Ticket and Concession Prices.
The soaring cost of
fielding a competitive team inevitably causes an inflationary spiral in ticket
and concession prices, threatening to
“price out” families that traditionally have been MLB’s core audience. As the Blue Ribbon Panel’s Report warned,
failure to implement an economic structure that fosters better competitive
balance could jeopardize MLB’s future popularity and growth.